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Fixture Difficulty
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| Club | xG | GW6 | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI | 9.1 | LIV A | IPS H | AVL A | BHA H | NFO A |
| ARS | 8.9 | LEE H | NFO A | EVE H | LIV A | HUL H |
| LIV | 8.0 | MCI H | BRE A | BHA H | ARS H | CRY A |
| BOU | 7.9 | CHE A | SUN H | MUN A | LEE H | IPS A |
| MUN | 7.8 | TOT H | LEE A | BOU H | CHE A | AVL H |
| CHE | 7.6 | BOU H | EVE A | TOT H | MUN H | SUN A |
| NEW | 7.4 | COV A | AVL H | CRY A | EVE H | FUL A |
| FUL | 7.4 | IPS A | HUL H | COV A | AVL A | NEW H |
| BRE | 7.4 | AVL A | LIV H | HUL A | NFO H | BHA A |
| TOT | 7.4 | MUN A | COV H | CHE A | CRY H | LEE A |
| AVL | 7.3 | BRE H | NEW A | MCI H | FUL H | MUN A |
| NFO | 6.9 | CRY A | ARS H | IPS A | BRE A | MCI H |
| CRY | 6.6 | NFO H | BHA A | NEW H | TOT A | LIV H |
| SUN | 6.6 | BHA H | BOU A | LEE H | COV A | CHE H |
| BHA | 6.5 | SUN A | CRY H | LIV A | MCI A | BRE H |
| EVE | 6.2 | HUL A | CHE H | ARS A | NEW A | COV H |
| COV | 6.1 | NEW H | TOT A | FUL H | SUN H | EVE A |
| LEE | 5.9 | ARS A | MUN H | SUN A | BOU A | TOT H |
| HUL | 5.7 | EVE H | FUL A | BRE H | IPS H | ARS A |
| IPS | 5.5 | FUL H | MCI A | NFO H | HUL A | BOU H |
Ranked by total expected goals (xG) across the next five gameweeks, highest first. Doubles include both matches. Missing forecasts rank last. Colours still show official FDR.
1–2 Easier3 Average4 Harder5 Hardest
| Club | Avg | GW6 | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL | 2.4 | IPS A | HUL H | COV A | AVL A | NEW H |
| COV | 2.8 | NEW H | TOT A | FUL H | SUN H | EVE A |
| NEW | 2.8 | COV A | AVL H | CRY A | EVE H | FUL A |
| ARS | 3.0 | LEE H | NFO A | EVE H | LIV A | HUL H |
| CHE | 3.0 | BOU H | EVE A | TOT H | MUN H | SUN A |
| IPS | 3.0 | FUL H | MCI A | NFO H | HUL A | BOU H |
| MCI | 3.0 | LIV A | IPS H | AVL A | BHA H | NFO A |
| MUN | 3.0 | TOT H | LEE A | BOU H | CHE A | AVL H |
| TOT | 3.0 | MUN A | COV H | CHE A | CRY H | LEE A |
| SUN | 3.0 | BHA H | BOU A | LEE H | COV A | CHE H |
| AVL | 3.2 | BRE H | NEW A | MCI H | FUL H | MUN A |
| BOU | 3.2 | CHE A | SUN H | MUN A | LEE H | IPS A |
| BRE | 3.2 | AVL A | LIV H | HUL A | NFO H | BHA A |
| EVE | 3.2 | HUL A | CHE H | ARS A | NEW A | COV H |
| HUL | 3.2 | EVE H | FUL A | BRE H | IPS H | ARS A |
| NFO | 3.2 | CRY A | ARS H | IPS A | BRE A | MCI H |
| BHA | 3.4 | SUN A | CRY H | LIV A | MCI A | BRE H |
| CRY | 3.4 | NFO H | BHA A | NEW H | TOT A | LIV H |
| LEE | 3.4 | ARS A | MUN H | SUN A | BOU A | TOT H |
| LIV | 3.4 | MCI H | BRE A | BHA H | ARS H | CRY A |
Ranked by average FDR across the next five gameweeks: 1 easiest, 5 hardest. Missing ratings rank last. This view stays the same for everyone.
1–2 Easier3 Average4 Harder5 Hardest
| Club | CS | GW6 | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS | 2.0 | LEE H | NFO A | EVE H | LIV A | HUL H |
| MCI | 1.6 | LIV A | IPS H | AVL A | BHA H | NFO A |
| FUL | 1.5 | IPS A | HUL H | COV A | AVL A | NEW H |
| SUN | 1.4 | BHA H | BOU A | LEE H | COV A | CHE H |
| NEW | 1.4 | COV A | AVL H | CRY A | EVE H | FUL A |
| BOU | 1.4 | CHE A | SUN H | MUN A | LEE H | IPS A |
| LIV | 1.3 | MCI H | BRE A | BHA H | ARS H | CRY A |
| CHE | 1.3 | BOU H | EVE A | TOT H | MUN H | SUN A |
| EVE | 1.3 | HUL A | CHE H | ARS A | NEW A | COV H |
| MUN | 1.2 | TOT H | LEE A | BOU H | CHE A | AVL H |
| NFO | 1.2 | CRY A | ARS H | IPS A | BRE A | MCI H |
| AVL | 1.2 | BRE H | NEW A | MCI H | FUL H | MUN A |
| CRY | 1.2 | NFO H | BHA A | NEW H | TOT A | LIV H |
| BHA | 1.1 | SUN A | CRY H | LIV A | MCI A | BRE H |
| TOT | 1.1 | MUN A | COV H | CHE A | CRY H | LEE A |
| BRE | 1.1 | AVL A | LIV H | HUL A | NFO H | BHA A |
| COV | 1.1 | NEW H | TOT A | FUL H | SUN H | EVE A |
| LEE | 1.1 | ARS A | MUN H | SUN A | BOU A | TOT H |
| HUL | 1.0 | EVE H | FUL A | BRE H | IPS H | ARS A |
| IPS | 0.7 | FUL H | MCI A | NFO H | HUL A | BOU H |
Ranked by expected clean sheets (CS) across the next five gameweeks, highest first. Doubles include both matches. Missing forecasts rank last. Colours still show official FDR.
1–2 Easier3 Average4 Harder5 Hardest
Official data checked · 03 Oct 2026, 00:25 UTCFixture forecast generated · 03 Oct 2026, 00:10 UTC
Data updates
This view is prepared once a day. Official player facts and results are checked separately from model forecasts. A newer official-data check does not mean the predictions have been regenerated. Check the generation timestamp before using a forecast.
Go deeper
Explore fixtures and rotation
Adjust the horizon, compare attacking or defensive forecasts, or pair two clubs for rotation.
Compare team attacks by expected goals, and defences by clean-sheet chances. The default order follows official FDR, with easier runs first. Attack and defence rank their forecast totals across the selected gameweeks. For a start/bench choice, compare individual player points and minutes.
| Club | GW6 | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | Total xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man CityExpected goalsFor 9.08Against 5.73Clean sheets 1.63Across 5 fixtures | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.31Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.98%)Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.46 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.98%); 0–1 (9.14%); 1–2 (8.75%)Win 33.89% · Draw 25.35% · Lose 40.76%Clean sheet 23.20%Both score 56.09%Over 2.5 52.37% · Under 2.5 47.63% | IPS (H)FDR 2Expected goals2.64Clean-sheet chance43% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (10.62%)Expected goals: 2.64 – 0.85 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (10.62%); 3–0 (9.33%); 2–1 (9.04%)Win 75.41% · Draw 14.87% · Lose 9.72%Clean sheet 42.66%Both score 53.24%Over 2.5 67.71% · Under 2.5 32.29% | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.53Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.61%)Expected goals: 1.53 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.61%); 2–1 (8.89%); 1–0 (8.64%)Win 41.79% · Draw 24.78% · Lose 33.43%Clean sheet 26.07%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.83% · Under 2.5 45.17% | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals2.14Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.89%)Expected goals: 2.14 – 1.07 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.89%); 2–0 (9.28%); 1–1 (9.26%)Win 61.81% · Draw 20.15% · Lose 18.04%Clean sheet 34.42%Both score 57.83%Over 2.5 62.05% · Under 2.5 37.95% | NFO (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.47Clean-sheet chance36% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.43%)Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.01 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.43%); 1–0 (12.32%); 2–1 (9.14%)Win 47.79% · Draw 26.26% · Lose 25.95%Clean sheet 36.46%Both score 48.93%Over 2.5 45.08% · Under 2.5 54.92% | 9.085 fixtures |
| ArsenalExpected goalsFor 8.94Against 4.63Clean sheets 2.02Across 5 fixtures | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals2.14Clean-sheet chance43% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (11.66%)Expected goals: 2.14 – 0.84 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (11.66%); 1–0 (10.88%); 2–1 (9.76%)Win 67.37% · Draw 19.19% · Lose 13.45%Clean sheet 43.28%Both score 50.07%Over 2.5 57.25% · Under 2.5 42.75% | NFO (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance40% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–0 (13.46%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 0.92 (club first)Top scores: 1–0 (13.46%); 1–1 (12.37%); 2–0 (9.94%)Win 50.17% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 23.47%Clean sheet 39.90%Both score 46.36%Over 2.5 42.90% · Under 2.5 57.10% | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.72Clean-sheet chance46% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–0 (14.11%)Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.78 (club first)Top scores: 1–0 (14.11%); 2–0 (12.11%); 1–1 (11.03%)Win 59.67% · Draw 23.56% · Lose 16.77%Clean sheet 45.75%Both score 44.50%Over 2.5 45.58% · Under 2.5 54.42% | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.32Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.41%)Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.33 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.41%); 0–1 (9.43%); 1–0 (9.33%)Win 36.60% · Draw 26.12% · Lose 37.28%Clean sheet 26.44%Both score 53.83%Over 2.5 49.31% · Under 2.5 50.69% | HUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals2.29Clean-sheet chance47% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (12.38%)Expected goals: 2.29 – 0.76 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (12.38%); 1–0 (10.81%); 3–0 (9.46%)Win 71.86% · Draw 17.34% · Lose 10.80%Clean sheet 46.65%Both score 47.96%Over 2.5 58.89% · Under 2.5 41.11% | 8.945 fixtures |
| LiverpoolExpected goalsFor 7.99Against 6.80Clean sheets 1.30Across 5 fixtures | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.46Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.98%)Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.31 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.98%); 1–0 (9.14%); 2–1 (8.75%)Win 40.76% · Draw 25.35% · Lose 33.89%Clean sheet 26.97%Both score 56.09%Over 2.5 52.37% · Under 2.5 47.63% | BRE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.71Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (9.59%)Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (9.59%); 2–1 (8.20%); 1–2 (8.16%)Win 38.88% · Draw 22.59% · Lose 38.53%Clean sheet 18.21%Both score 67.02%Over 2.5 66.31% · Under 2.5 33.69% | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.88Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.48%)Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.12 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.48%); 2–1 (9.85%); 1–0 (9.34%)Win 55.07% · Draw 22.46% · Lose 22.47%Clean sheet 32.57%Both score 57.14%Over 2.5 57.72% · Under 2.5 42.28% | ARS (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.33Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.41%)Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.32 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.41%); 1–0 (9.43%); 0–1 (9.33%)Win 37.28% · Draw 26.12% · Lose 36.60%Clean sheet 26.82%Both score 53.83%Over 2.5 49.31% · Under 2.5 50.69% | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.61Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.27%)Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.35 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.27%); 2–1 (9.06%); 1–0 (8.34%)Win 43.52% · Draw 24.28% · Lose 32.20%Clean sheet 25.90%Both score 59.25%Over 2.5 56.74% · Under 2.5 43.26% | 7.995 fixtures |
| BournemouthExpected goalsFor 7.94Against 6.74Clean sheets 1.37Across 5 fixtures | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.39Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.76%)Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.76%); 1–2 (9.14%); 0–1 (7.75%)Win 31.49% · Draw 23.60% · Lose 44.91%Clean sheet 18.28%Both score 61.34%Over 2.5 59.63% · Under 2.5 40.37% | SUN (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.43Clean-sheet chance36% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.59%)Expected goals: 1.43 – 1.01 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.59%); 1–0 (12.45%); 2–1 (9.00%)Win 46.64% · Draw 26.66% · Lose 26.70%Clean sheet 36.36%Both score 48.39%Over 2.5 44.08% · Under 2.5 55.92% | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.44Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.03%)Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.82 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.03%); 1–2 (9.14%); 2–1 (7.25%)Win 30.68% · Draw 22.74% · Lose 46.58%Clean sheet 16.16%Both score 64.07%Over 2.5 63.40% · Under 2.5 36.60% | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.61Clean-sheet chance35% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.83%)Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.05 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.83%); 1–0 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.52%)Win 50.37% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 24.76%Clean sheet 34.98%Both score 52.02%Over 2.5 49.66% · Under 2.5 50.34% | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals2.07Clean-sheet chance32% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.84%)Expected goals: 2.07 – 1.15 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.84%); 1–1 (9.53%); 2–0 (8.55%)Win 58.43% · Draw 20.94% · Lose 20.63%Clean sheet 31.61%Both score 59.73%Over 2.5 62.39% · Under 2.5 37.61% | 7.945 fixtures |
| Man UtdExpected goalsFor 7.81Against 7.02Clean sheets 1.23Across 5 fixtures | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.73%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.40 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.73%); 2–1 (9.12%); 1–0 (7.68%)Win 44.71% · Draw 23.58% · Lose 31.71%Clean sheet 24.71%Both score 61.52%Over 2.5 59.81% · Under 2.5 40.19% | LEE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.33Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.10%)Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.42 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.10%); 0–1 (9.13%); 1–2 (8.57%)Win 35.11% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 39.33%Clean sheet 24.23%Both score 55.64%Over 2.5 51.68% · Under 2.5 48.32% | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.82Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.03%)Expected goals: 1.82 – 1.44 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.03%); 2–1 (9.14%); 1–2 (7.25%)Win 46.58% · Draw 22.74% · Lose 30.68%Clean sheet 23.58%Both score 64.07%Over 2.5 63.40% · Under 2.5 36.60% | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.88%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.49 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.88%); 0–1 (9.10%); 1–2 (8.86%)Win 33.18% · Draw 25.17% · Lose 41.65%Clean sheet 22.50%Both score 56.49%Over 2.5 52.98% · Under 2.5 47.02% | AVL (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.25%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.27 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.25%); 2–1 (9.35%); 1–0 (8.87%)Win 46.62% · Draw 24.11% · Lose 29.27%Clean sheet 28.11%Both score 58.24%Over 2.5 56.11% · Under 2.5 43.89% | 7.815 fixtures |
| ChelseaExpected goalsFor 7.60Against 6.72Clean sheets 1.30Across 5 fixtures | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.76%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.39 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.76%); 2–1 (9.14%); 1–0 (7.75%)Win 44.91% · Draw 23.60% · Lose 31.49%Clean sheet 24.93%Both score 61.34%Over 2.5 59.63% · Under 2.5 40.37% | EVE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.49Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.77%)Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.35 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.77%); 2–1 (8.74%); 1–0 (8.73%)Win 40.56% · Draw 25.04% · Lose 34.40%Clean sheet 25.95%Both score 57.29%Over 2.5 53.88% · Under 2.5 46.12% | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.58Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.39%)Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.39%); 2–1 (9.02%); 1–0 (8.47%)Win 43.10% · Draw 24.45% · Lose 32.46%Clean sheet 26.08%Both score 58.75%Over 2.5 56.05% · Under 2.5 43.95% | MUN (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.49Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.88%)Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.88%); 1–0 (9.10%); 2–1 (8.86%)Win 41.65% · Draw 25.17% · Lose 33.18%Clean sheet 27.12%Both score 56.49%Over 2.5 52.98% · Under 2.5 47.02% | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.31%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.31%); 1–0 (9.22%); 0–1 (9.16%)Win 37.23% · Draw 25.93% · Lose 36.84%Clean sheet 26.29%Both score 54.49%Over 2.5 50.15% · Under 2.5 49.85% | 7.605 fixtures |
| NewcastleExpected goalsFor 7.45Against 6.40Clean sheets 1.40Across 5 fixtures | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance29% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.12%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.23 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.12%); 1–0 (9.89%); 2–1 (8.97%)Win 43.05% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 31.40%Clean sheet 29.36%Both score 54.55%Over 2.5 50.76% · Under 2.5 49.24% | AVL (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.85Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.32%)Expected goals: 1.85 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.32%); 2–1 (9.53%); 1–0 (7.94%)Win 50.30% · Draw 22.73% · Lose 26.97%Clean sheet 27.26%Both score 61.28%Over 2.5 60.91% · Under 2.5 39.09% | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.80%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.29 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.80%); 0–1 (10.50%); 1–0 (9.94%)Win 34.88% · Draw 26.94% · Lose 38.18%Clean sheet 27.59%Both score 51.01%Over 2.5 45.79% · Under 2.5 54.21% | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.68Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.43%)Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.12 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.43%); 1–0 (10.23%); 2–1 (9.62%)Win 50.63% · Draw 24.14% · Lose 25.23%Clean sheet 32.74%Both score 54.78%Over 2.5 53.08% · Under 2.5 46.92% | FUL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.19%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.47 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.19%); 0–1 (10.02%); 1–2 (8.94%)Win 31.39% · Draw 25.67% · Lose 42.94%Clean sheet 23.06%Both score 54.15%Over 2.5 50.24% · Under 2.5 49.76% | 7.455 fixtures |
| FulhamExpected goalsFor 7.44Against 6.32Clean sheets 1.45Across 5 fixtures | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.59%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.07 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.59%); 1–0 (10.87%); 2–1 (9.62%)Win 51.21% · Draw 24.40% · Lose 24.40%Clean sheet 34.42%Both score 53.10%Over 2.5 51.26% · Under 2.5 48.74% | HUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.81Clean-sheet chance35% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.87%)Expected goals: 1.81 – 1.04 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.87%); 1–0 (10.42%); 2–1 (9.86%)Win 55.40% · Draw 22.98% · Lose 21.62%Clean sheet 35.22%Both score 54.21%Over 2.5 54.39% · Under 2.5 45.61% | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.38Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.38%)Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.38%); 1–0 (9.80%); 0–1 (8.95%)Win 39.77% · Draw 26.06% · Lose 34.18%Clean sheet 28.26%Both score 53.77%Over 2.5 49.36% · Under 2.5 50.64% | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.11Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.20%)Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.73 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.20%); 0–1 (10.07%); 1–2 (9.71%)Win 24.38% · Draw 23.72% · Lose 51.90%Clean sheet 17.67%Both score 55.27%Over 2.5 54.14% · Under 2.5 45.86% | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.47Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.19%)Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.19%); 1–0 (10.02%); 2–1 (8.94%)Win 42.94% · Draw 25.67% · Lose 31.39%Clean sheet 29.62%Both score 54.15%Over 2.5 50.24% · Under 2.5 49.76% | 7.445 fixtures |
| BrentfordExpected goalsFor 7.39Against 7.62Clean sheets 1.11Across 5 fixtures | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.26%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.68 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.48%); 0–1 (9.23%)Win 27.72% · Draw 24.03% · Lose 48.25%Clean sheet 18.57%Both score 57.38%Over 2.5 55.48% · Under 2.5 44.52% | LIV (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (9.59%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.71 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (9.59%); 1–2 (8.20%); 2–1 (8.16%)Win 38.53% · Draw 22.59% · Lose 38.88%Clean sheet 18.06%Both score 67.02%Over 2.5 66.31% · Under 2.5 33.69% | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.52Clean-sheet chance29% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.97%)Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.23 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.97%); 1–0 (9.75%); 2–1 (9.08%)Win 43.97% · Draw 25.27% · Lose 30.77%Clean sheet 29.30%Both score 55.20%Over 2.5 51.73% · Under 2.5 48.27% | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.74Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.21%)Expected goals: 1.74 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.21%); 2–1 (8.89%); 1–2 (7.67%)Win 43.55% · Draw 23.09% · Lose 33.37%Clean sheet 22.30%Both score 64.08%Over 2.5 62.87% · Under 2.5 37.13% | BHA (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.21Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.07%)Expected goals: 1.21 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.07%); 0–1 (9.97%); 1–2 (9.06%)Win 30.63% · Draw 25.44% · Lose 43.93%Clean sheet 22.29%Both score 54.56%Over 2.5 50.93% · Under 2.5 49.07% | 7.395 fixtures |
| SpursExpected goalsFor 7.37Against 7.52Clean sheets 1.12Across 5 fixtures | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.40Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.73%)Expected goals: 1.40 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.73%); 1–2 (9.12%); 0–1 (7.68%)Win 31.71% · Draw 23.58% · Lose 44.71%Clean sheet 18.29%Both score 61.52%Over 2.5 59.81% · Under 2.5 40.19% | COV (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.78Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.68%)Expected goals: 1.78 – 1.27 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.68%); 2–1 (9.53%); 1–0 (8.40%)Win 49.49% · Draw 23.21% · Lose 27.30%Clean sheet 28.05%Both score 59.87%Over 2.5 58.92% · Under 2.5 41.08% | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance21% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.39%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.58 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.39%); 1–2 (9.02%); 0–1 (8.47%)Win 32.46% · Draw 24.45% · Lose 43.10%Clean sheet 20.52%Both score 58.75%Over 2.5 56.05% · Under 2.5 43.95% | CRY (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.42%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.46 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.42%); 2–1 (8.45%); 1–2 (8.34%)Win 38.13% · Draw 24.57% · Lose 37.30%Clean sheet 23.19%Both score 59.33%Over 2.5 56.37% · Under 2.5 43.63% | LEE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.37Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.65%)Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.65%); 1–2 (8.76%); 0–1 (8.53%)Win 34.44% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 40.71%Clean sheet 22.20%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.71% · Under 2.5 45.29% | 7.375 fixtures |
| Aston VillaExpected goalsFor 7.33Against 7.37Clean sheets 1.19Across 5 fixtures | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.68Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.26%)Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.48%); 1–0 (9.23%)Win 48.25% · Draw 24.03% · Lose 27.72%Clean sheet 29.54%Both score 57.38%Over 2.5 55.48% · Under 2.5 44.52% | NEW (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.32%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.85 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.32%); 1–2 (9.53%); 0–1 (7.94%)Win 26.97% · Draw 22.73% · Lose 50.30%Clean sheet 15.75%Both score 61.28%Over 2.5 60.91% · Under 2.5 39.09% | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.61%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.53 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.61%); 1–2 (8.89%); 0–1 (8.64%)Win 33.43% · Draw 24.78% · Lose 41.79%Clean sheet 21.63%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.83% · Under 2.5 45.17% | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.73Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.20%)Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.11 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.20%); 1–0 (10.07%); 2–1 (9.71%)Win 51.90% · Draw 23.72% · Lose 24.38%Clean sheet 32.87%Both score 55.27%Over 2.5 54.14% · Under 2.5 45.86% | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.27Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.25%)Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.25%); 1–2 (9.35%); 0–1 (8.87%)Win 29.27% · Draw 24.11% · Lose 46.62%Clean sheet 18.98%Both score 58.24%Over 2.5 56.11% · Under 2.5 43.89% | 7.335 fixtures |
| Nott'm ForestExpected goalsFor 6.89Against 7.18Clean sheets 1.22Across 5 fixtures | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.41Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.95%)Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.38 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.95%); 1–0 (8.65%); 0–1 (8.48%)Win 37.98% · Draw 25.33% · Lose 36.69%Clean sheet 25.13%Both score 56.58%Over 2.5 52.83% · Under 2.5 47.17% | ARS (H)FDR 4Expected goals0.92Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–1 (13.46%)Expected goals: 0.92 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 0–1 (13.46%); 1–1 (12.37%); 0–2 (9.94%)Win 23.47% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 50.17%Clean sheet 22.85%Both score 46.36%Over 2.5 42.90% · Under 2.5 57.10% | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals2.05Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.90%)Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.11 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.90%); 1–1 (9.65%); 2–0 (8.92%)Win 59.08% · Draw 20.99% · Lose 19.93%Clean sheet 32.99%Both score 58.39%Over 2.5 61.16% · Under 2.5 38.84% | BRE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.21%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.74 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.21%); 1–2 (8.89%); 2–1 (7.67%)Win 33.37% · Draw 23.09% · Lose 43.55%Clean sheet 17.53%Both score 64.08%Over 2.5 62.87% · Under 2.5 37.13% | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.01Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.43%)Expected goals: 1.01 – 1.47 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.43%); 0–1 (12.32%); 1–2 (9.14%)Win 25.95% · Draw 26.26% · Lose 47.79%Clean sheet 23.00%Both score 48.93%Over 2.5 45.08% · Under 2.5 54.92% | 6.895 fixtures |
| Crystal PalaceExpected goalsFor 6.65Against 7.25Clean sheets 1.18Across 5 fixtures | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.38Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.95%)Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.41 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.95%); 0–1 (8.65%); 1–0 (8.48%)Win 36.69% · Draw 25.33% · Lose 37.98%Clean sheet 24.43%Both score 56.58%Over 2.5 52.83% · Under 2.5 47.17% | BHA (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.16Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.02%)Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.54 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.02%); 0–1 (10.32%); 1–2 (9.23%)Win 28.84% · Draw 25.30% · Lose 45.86%Clean sheet 21.53%Both score 53.98%Over 2.5 50.65% · Under 2.5 49.35% | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.29Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.80%)Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.80%); 1–0 (10.50%); 0–1 (9.94%)Win 38.18% · Draw 26.94% · Lose 34.88%Clean sheet 29.56%Both score 51.01%Over 2.5 45.79% · Under 2.5 54.21% | TOT (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.46Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.42%)Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.42%); 1–2 (8.45%); 2–1 (8.34%)Win 37.30% · Draw 24.57% · Lose 38.13%Clean sheet 22.75%Both score 59.33%Over 2.5 56.37% · Under 2.5 43.63% | LIV (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.35Clean-sheet chance20% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.27%)Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.61 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.27%); 1–2 (9.06%); 0–1 (8.34%)Win 32.20% · Draw 24.28% · Lose 43.52%Clean sheet 20.04%Both score 59.25%Over 2.5 56.74% · Under 2.5 43.26% | 6.655 fixtures |
| SunderlandExpected goalsFor 6.59Against 6.37Clean sheets 1.41Across 5 fixtures | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.37Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.45%)Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.45%); 1–0 (9.88%); 0–1 (9.10%)Win 39.43% · Draw 26.18% · Lose 34.39%Clean sheet 28.36%Both score 53.41%Over 2.5 48.87% · Under 2.5 51.13% | BOU (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.01Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.59%)Expected goals: 1.01 – 1.43 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.59%); 0–1 (12.45%); 1–2 (9.00%)Win 26.70% · Draw 26.66% · Lose 46.64%Clean sheet 23.96%Both score 48.39%Over 2.5 44.08% · Under 2.5 55.92% | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.54Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.13%)Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.08 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.13%); 1–0 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.32%)Win 47.90% · Draw 25.49% · Lose 26.61%Clean sheet 34.06%Both score 51.75%Over 2.5 48.50% · Under 2.5 51.50% | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.54%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.54%); 1–0 (9.98%); 0–1 (9.35%)Win 38.81% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 34.82%Clean sheet 28.45%Both score 52.85%Over 2.5 48.13% · Under 2.5 51.87% | CHE (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.31%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.31%); 0–1 (9.22%); 1–0 (9.16%)Win 36.84% · Draw 25.93% · Lose 37.23%Clean sheet 26.08%Both score 54.49%Over 2.5 50.15% · Under 2.5 49.85% | 6.595 fixtures |
| BrightonExpected goalsFor 6.49Against 7.76Clean sheets 1.14Across 5 fixtures | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.45%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.37 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.45%); 0–1 (9.88%); 1–0 (9.10%)Win 34.39% · Draw 26.18% · Lose 39.43%Clean sheet 25.45%Both score 53.41%Over 2.5 48.87% · Under 2.5 51.13% | CRY (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.54Clean-sheet chance31% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.02%)Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.16 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.02%); 1–0 (10.32%); 2–1 (9.23%)Win 45.86% · Draw 25.30% · Lose 28.84%Clean sheet 31.21%Both score 53.98%Over 2.5 50.65% · Under 2.5 49.35% | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.12Clean-sheet chance15% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.48%)Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.88 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.48%); 1–2 (9.85%); 0–1 (9.34%)Win 22.47% · Draw 22.46% · Lose 55.07%Clean sheet 15.26%Both score 57.14%Over 2.5 57.72% · Under 2.5 42.28% | MCI (A)FDR 5Expected goals1.07Clean-sheet chance12% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.89%)Expected goals: 1.07 – 2.14 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.89%); 0–2 (9.28%); 1–1 (9.26%)Win 18.04% · Draw 20.15% · Lose 61.81%Clean sheet 11.82%Both score 57.83%Over 2.5 62.05% · Under 2.5 37.95% | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.07%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.21 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.07%); 1–0 (9.97%); 2–1 (9.06%)Win 43.93% · Draw 25.44% · Lose 30.63%Clean sheet 29.79%Both score 54.56%Over 2.5 50.93% · Under 2.5 49.07% | 6.495 fixtures |
| EvertonExpected goalsFor 6.21Against 7.10Clean sheets 1.25Across 5 fixtures | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance32% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.92%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.13 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.92%); 1–0 (11.39%); 0–1 (9.93%)Win 40.36% · Draw 27.30% · Lose 32.33%Clean sheet 32.16%Both score 49.37%Over 2.5 43.95% · Under 2.5 56.05% | CHE (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.35Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.77%)Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.49 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.77%); 1–2 (8.74%); 0–1 (8.73%)Win 34.40% · Draw 25.04% · Lose 40.56%Clean sheet 22.63%Both score 57.29%Over 2.5 53.88% · Under 2.5 46.12% | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.78Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–1 (14.11%)Expected goals: 0.78 – 1.72 (club first)Top scores: 0–1 (14.11%); 0–2 (12.11%); 1–1 (11.03%)Win 16.77% · Draw 23.56% · Lose 59.67%Clean sheet 17.97%Both score 44.50%Over 2.5 45.58% · Under 2.5 54.42% | NEW (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.12Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.43%)Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.68 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.43%); 0–1 (10.23%); 1–2 (9.62%)Win 25.23% · Draw 24.14% · Lose 50.63%Clean sheet 18.56%Both score 54.78%Over 2.5 53.08% · Under 2.5 46.92% | COV (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.58%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.08 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.58%); 1–0 (10.68%); 2–1 (9.60%)Win 50.80% · Draw 24.38% · Lose 24.82%Clean sheet 33.83%Both score 53.58%Over 2.5 51.69% · Under 2.5 48.31% | 6.215 fixtures |
| Coventry CityExpected goalsFor 6.10Against 7.65Clean sheets 1.10Across 5 fixtures | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.23Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.12%)Expected goals: 1.23 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.12%); 0–1 (9.89%); 1–2 (8.97%)Win 31.40% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 43.05%Clean sheet 22.78%Both score 54.55%Over 2.5 50.76% · Under 2.5 49.24% | TOT (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.27Clean-sheet chance17% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.68%)Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.78 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.68%); 1–2 (9.53%); 0–1 (8.40%)Win 27.30% · Draw 23.21% · Lose 49.49%Clean sheet 16.78%Both score 59.87%Over 2.5 58.92% · Under 2.5 41.08% | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.38%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.38 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.38%); 0–1 (9.80%); 1–0 (8.95%)Win 34.18% · Draw 26.06% · Lose 39.77%Clean sheet 25.05%Both score 53.77%Over 2.5 49.36% · Under 2.5 50.64% | SUN (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.54%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.54%); 0–1 (9.98%); 1–0 (9.35%)Win 34.82% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 38.81%Clean sheet 26.13%Both score 52.85%Over 2.5 48.13% · Under 2.5 51.87% | EVE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.08Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.58%)Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.58%); 0–1 (10.68%); 1–2 (9.60%)Win 24.82% · Draw 24.38% · Lose 50.80%Clean sheet 19.03%Both score 53.58%Over 2.5 51.69% · Under 2.5 48.31% | 6.105 fixtures |
| LeedsExpected goalsFor 5.89Against 7.98Clean sheets 1.05Across 5 fixtures | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.84Clean-sheet chance12% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (11.66%)Expected goals: 0.84 – 2.14 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (11.66%); 0–1 (10.88%); 1–2 (9.76%)Win 13.45% · Draw 19.19% · Lose 67.37%Clean sheet 11.73%Both score 50.07%Over 2.5 57.25% · Under 2.5 42.75% | MUN (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.42Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.10%)Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.33 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.10%); 1–0 (9.13%); 2–1 (8.57%)Win 39.33% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 35.11%Clean sheet 26.57%Both score 55.64%Over 2.5 51.68% · Under 2.5 48.32% | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.08Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.13%)Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.54 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.13%); 0–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.32%)Win 26.61% · Draw 25.49% · Lose 47.90%Clean sheet 21.51%Both score 51.75%Over 2.5 48.50% · Under 2.5 51.50% | BOU (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.05Clean-sheet chance20% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.83%)Expected goals: 1.05 – 1.61 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.83%); 0–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.52%)Win 24.76% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 50.37%Clean sheet 19.99%Both score 52.02%Over 2.5 49.66% · Under 2.5 50.34% | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.65%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.37 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.65%); 2–1 (8.76%); 1–0 (8.53%)Win 40.71% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 34.44%Clean sheet 25.54%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.71% · Under 2.5 45.29% | 5.895 fixtures |
| Hull CityExpected goalsFor 5.73Against 8.23Clean sheets 1.03Across 5 fixtures | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.13Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.92%)Expected goals: 1.13 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.92%); 0–1 (11.39%); 1–0 (9.93%)Win 32.33% · Draw 27.30% · Lose 40.36%Clean sheet 27.22%Both score 49.37%Over 2.5 43.95% · Under 2.5 56.05% | FUL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.04Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.87%)Expected goals: 1.04 – 1.81 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.87%); 0–1 (10.42%); 1–2 (9.86%)Win 21.62% · Draw 22.98% · Lose 55.40%Clean sheet 16.32%Both score 54.21%Over 2.5 54.39% · Under 2.5 45.61% | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.23Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.97%)Expected goals: 1.23 – 1.52 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.97%); 0–1 (9.75%); 1–2 (9.08%)Win 30.77% · Draw 25.27% · Lose 43.97%Clean sheet 21.93%Both score 55.20%Over 2.5 51.73% · Under 2.5 48.27% | IPS (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.56Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.62%)Expected goals: 1.56 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.62%); 2–1 (9.05%); 1–0 (8.92%)Win 43.34% · Draw 24.75% · Lose 31.92%Clean sheet 27.18%Both score 57.48%Over 2.5 54.48% · Under 2.5 45.52% | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.76Clean-sheet chance10% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (12.38%)Expected goals: 0.76 – 2.29 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (12.38%); 0–1 (10.81%); 0–3 (9.46%)Win 10.80% · Draw 17.34% · Lose 71.86%Clean sheet 10.11%Both score 47.96%Over 2.5 58.89% · Under 2.5 41.11% | 5.735 fixtures |
| Ipswich TownExpected goalsFor 5.48Against 9.97Clean sheets 0.73Across 5 fixtures | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.07Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.59%)Expected goals: 1.07 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.59%); 0–1 (10.87%); 1–2 (9.62%)Win 24.40% · Draw 24.40% · Lose 51.21%Clean sheet 19.03%Both score 53.10%Over 2.5 51.26% · Under 2.5 48.74% | MCI (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.85Clean-sheet chance7% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (10.62%)Expected goals: 0.85 – 2.64 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (10.62%); 0–3 (9.33%); 1–2 (9.04%)Win 9.72% · Draw 14.87% · Lose 75.41%Clean sheet 7.16%Both score 53.24%Over 2.5 67.71% · Under 2.5 32.29% | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.11Clean-sheet chance13% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.90%)Expected goals: 1.11 – 2.05 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.90%); 1–1 (9.65%); 0–2 (8.92%)Win 19.93% · Draw 20.99% · Lose 59.08%Clean sheet 12.86%Both score 58.39%Over 2.5 61.16% · Under 2.5 38.84% | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance21% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.62%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.56 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.62%); 1–2 (9.05%); 0–1 (8.92%)Win 31.92% · Draw 24.75% · Lose 43.34%Clean sheet 21.07%Both score 57.48%Over 2.5 54.48% · Under 2.5 45.52% | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.15Clean-sheet chance13% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.84%)Expected goals: 1.15 – 2.07 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.84%); 1–1 (9.53%); 0–2 (8.55%)Win 20.63% · Draw 20.94% · Lose 58.43%Clean sheet 12.66%Both score 59.73%Over 2.5 62.39% · Under 2.5 37.61% | 5.485 fixtures |
Official FDR: 1 is easiest, 5 hardest; average FDR excludes blanks. Attack uses summed expected goals; defence uses expected clean-sheet counts, so doubles include both matches. Unrated fixtures remain unavailable. 0 fixtures have no confirmed gameweek.
Expected goals and most likely scores show this row's club first, then its opponent, for home and away fixtures. Expected goals are averages from our historical-results model. Most likely scores and the probabilities below them use independent Poisson goal counts, not rounded averages or bookmaker forecasts. Equally likely scores are labelled tied; the top three break ties by home goals then away goals. Each match in a double gameweek is shown separately.
Fixture colours show official difficulty in every view: green for easier opponents, amber for average difficulty, orange for harder opponents and pink for the hardest opponents. Missing ratings stay uncoloured.
Expected goals beneath each club total the fixtures in the selected gameweeks. Doubles include both matches; blanks add zero. Totals are unavailable if any included forecast is missing.
Fixture model saved 03 Oct 2026, 00:10 UTC. Predictions are shown only where the saved fixture, clubs, kickoff and gameweek still match official data. Forecast horizon is capped at five gameweeks.
Compare team attacks by expected goals, and defences by clean-sheet chances. The default order follows official FDR, with easier runs first. Attack and defence rank their forecast totals across the selected gameweeks. For a start/bench choice, compare individual player points and minutes.
| Club | GW6 | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | Avg FDR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FulhamExpected goalsFor 7.44Against 6.32Clean sheets 1.45Across 5 fixtures | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.59%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.07 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.59%); 1–0 (10.87%); 2–1 (9.62%)Win 51.21% · Draw 24.40% · Lose 24.40%Clean sheet 34.42%Both score 53.10%Over 2.5 51.26% · Under 2.5 48.74% | HUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.81Clean-sheet chance35% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.87%)Expected goals: 1.81 – 1.04 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.87%); 1–0 (10.42%); 2–1 (9.86%)Win 55.40% · Draw 22.98% · Lose 21.62%Clean sheet 35.22%Both score 54.21%Over 2.5 54.39% · Under 2.5 45.61% | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.38Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.38%)Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.38%); 1–0 (9.80%); 0–1 (8.95%)Win 39.77% · Draw 26.06% · Lose 34.18%Clean sheet 28.26%Both score 53.77%Over 2.5 49.36% · Under 2.5 50.64% | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.11Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.20%)Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.73 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.20%); 0–1 (10.07%); 1–2 (9.71%)Win 24.38% · Draw 23.72% · Lose 51.90%Clean sheet 17.67%Both score 55.27%Over 2.5 54.14% · Under 2.5 45.86% | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.47Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.19%)Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.19%); 1–0 (10.02%); 2–1 (8.94%)Win 42.94% · Draw 25.67% · Lose 31.39%Clean sheet 29.62%Both score 54.15%Over 2.5 50.24% · Under 2.5 49.76% | 2.405 fixtures |
| Coventry CityExpected goalsFor 6.10Against 7.65Clean sheets 1.10Across 5 fixtures | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.23Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.12%)Expected goals: 1.23 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.12%); 0–1 (9.89%); 1–2 (8.97%)Win 31.40% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 43.05%Clean sheet 22.78%Both score 54.55%Over 2.5 50.76% · Under 2.5 49.24% | TOT (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.27Clean-sheet chance17% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.68%)Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.78 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.68%); 1–2 (9.53%); 0–1 (8.40%)Win 27.30% · Draw 23.21% · Lose 49.49%Clean sheet 16.78%Both score 59.87%Over 2.5 58.92% · Under 2.5 41.08% | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.38%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.38 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.38%); 0–1 (9.80%); 1–0 (8.95%)Win 34.18% · Draw 26.06% · Lose 39.77%Clean sheet 25.05%Both score 53.77%Over 2.5 49.36% · Under 2.5 50.64% | SUN (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.54%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.54%); 0–1 (9.98%); 1–0 (9.35%)Win 34.82% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 38.81%Clean sheet 26.13%Both score 52.85%Over 2.5 48.13% · Under 2.5 51.87% | EVE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.08Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.58%)Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.58%); 0–1 (10.68%); 1–2 (9.60%)Win 24.82% · Draw 24.38% · Lose 50.80%Clean sheet 19.03%Both score 53.58%Over 2.5 51.69% · Under 2.5 48.31% | 2.805 fixtures |
| NewcastleExpected goalsFor 7.45Against 6.40Clean sheets 1.40Across 5 fixtures | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance29% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.12%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.23 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.12%); 1–0 (9.89%); 2–1 (8.97%)Win 43.05% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 31.40%Clean sheet 29.36%Both score 54.55%Over 2.5 50.76% · Under 2.5 49.24% | AVL (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.85Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.32%)Expected goals: 1.85 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.32%); 2–1 (9.53%); 1–0 (7.94%)Win 50.30% · Draw 22.73% · Lose 26.97%Clean sheet 27.26%Both score 61.28%Over 2.5 60.91% · Under 2.5 39.09% | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.80%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.29 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.80%); 0–1 (10.50%); 1–0 (9.94%)Win 34.88% · Draw 26.94% · Lose 38.18%Clean sheet 27.59%Both score 51.01%Over 2.5 45.79% · Under 2.5 54.21% | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.68Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.43%)Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.12 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.43%); 1–0 (10.23%); 2–1 (9.62%)Win 50.63% · Draw 24.14% · Lose 25.23%Clean sheet 32.74%Both score 54.78%Over 2.5 53.08% · Under 2.5 46.92% | FUL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.19%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.47 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.19%); 0–1 (10.02%); 1–2 (8.94%)Win 31.39% · Draw 25.67% · Lose 42.94%Clean sheet 23.06%Both score 54.15%Over 2.5 50.24% · Under 2.5 49.76% | 2.805 fixtures |
| ArsenalExpected goalsFor 8.94Against 4.63Clean sheets 2.02Across 5 fixtures | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals2.14Clean-sheet chance43% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (11.66%)Expected goals: 2.14 – 0.84 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (11.66%); 1–0 (10.88%); 2–1 (9.76%)Win 67.37% · Draw 19.19% · Lose 13.45%Clean sheet 43.28%Both score 50.07%Over 2.5 57.25% · Under 2.5 42.75% | NFO (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance40% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–0 (13.46%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 0.92 (club first)Top scores: 1–0 (13.46%); 1–1 (12.37%); 2–0 (9.94%)Win 50.17% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 23.47%Clean sheet 39.90%Both score 46.36%Over 2.5 42.90% · Under 2.5 57.10% | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.72Clean-sheet chance46% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–0 (14.11%)Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.78 (club first)Top scores: 1–0 (14.11%); 2–0 (12.11%); 1–1 (11.03%)Win 59.67% · Draw 23.56% · Lose 16.77%Clean sheet 45.75%Both score 44.50%Over 2.5 45.58% · Under 2.5 54.42% | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.32Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.41%)Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.33 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.41%); 0–1 (9.43%); 1–0 (9.33%)Win 36.60% · Draw 26.12% · Lose 37.28%Clean sheet 26.44%Both score 53.83%Over 2.5 49.31% · Under 2.5 50.69% | HUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals2.29Clean-sheet chance47% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (12.38%)Expected goals: 2.29 – 0.76 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (12.38%); 1–0 (10.81%); 3–0 (9.46%)Win 71.86% · Draw 17.34% · Lose 10.80%Clean sheet 46.65%Both score 47.96%Over 2.5 58.89% · Under 2.5 41.11% | 3.005 fixtures |
| ChelseaExpected goalsFor 7.60Against 6.72Clean sheets 1.30Across 5 fixtures | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.76%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.39 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.76%); 2–1 (9.14%); 1–0 (7.75%)Win 44.91% · Draw 23.60% · Lose 31.49%Clean sheet 24.93%Both score 61.34%Over 2.5 59.63% · Under 2.5 40.37% | EVE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.49Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.77%)Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.35 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.77%); 2–1 (8.74%); 1–0 (8.73%)Win 40.56% · Draw 25.04% · Lose 34.40%Clean sheet 25.95%Both score 57.29%Over 2.5 53.88% · Under 2.5 46.12% | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.58Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.39%)Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.39%); 2–1 (9.02%); 1–0 (8.47%)Win 43.10% · Draw 24.45% · Lose 32.46%Clean sheet 26.08%Both score 58.75%Over 2.5 56.05% · Under 2.5 43.95% | MUN (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.49Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.88%)Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.88%); 1–0 (9.10%); 2–1 (8.86%)Win 41.65% · Draw 25.17% · Lose 33.18%Clean sheet 27.12%Both score 56.49%Over 2.5 52.98% · Under 2.5 47.02% | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.31%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.31%); 1–0 (9.22%); 0–1 (9.16%)Win 37.23% · Draw 25.93% · Lose 36.84%Clean sheet 26.29%Both score 54.49%Over 2.5 50.15% · Under 2.5 49.85% | 3.005 fixtures |
| Ipswich TownExpected goalsFor 5.48Against 9.97Clean sheets 0.73Across 5 fixtures | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.07Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.59%)Expected goals: 1.07 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.59%); 0–1 (10.87%); 1–2 (9.62%)Win 24.40% · Draw 24.40% · Lose 51.21%Clean sheet 19.03%Both score 53.10%Over 2.5 51.26% · Under 2.5 48.74% | MCI (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.85Clean-sheet chance7% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (10.62%)Expected goals: 0.85 – 2.64 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (10.62%); 0–3 (9.33%); 1–2 (9.04%)Win 9.72% · Draw 14.87% · Lose 75.41%Clean sheet 7.16%Both score 53.24%Over 2.5 67.71% · Under 2.5 32.29% | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.11Clean-sheet chance13% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.90%)Expected goals: 1.11 – 2.05 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.90%); 1–1 (9.65%); 0–2 (8.92%)Win 19.93% · Draw 20.99% · Lose 59.08%Clean sheet 12.86%Both score 58.39%Over 2.5 61.16% · Under 2.5 38.84% | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance21% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.62%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.56 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.62%); 1–2 (9.05%); 0–1 (8.92%)Win 31.92% · Draw 24.75% · Lose 43.34%Clean sheet 21.07%Both score 57.48%Over 2.5 54.48% · Under 2.5 45.52% | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.15Clean-sheet chance13% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.84%)Expected goals: 1.15 – 2.07 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.84%); 1–1 (9.53%); 0–2 (8.55%)Win 20.63% · Draw 20.94% · Lose 58.43%Clean sheet 12.66%Both score 59.73%Over 2.5 62.39% · Under 2.5 37.61% | 3.005 fixtures |
| Man CityExpected goalsFor 9.08Against 5.73Clean sheets 1.63Across 5 fixtures | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.31Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.98%)Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.46 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.98%); 0–1 (9.14%); 1–2 (8.75%)Win 33.89% · Draw 25.35% · Lose 40.76%Clean sheet 23.20%Both score 56.09%Over 2.5 52.37% · Under 2.5 47.63% | IPS (H)FDR 2Expected goals2.64Clean-sheet chance43% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (10.62%)Expected goals: 2.64 – 0.85 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (10.62%); 3–0 (9.33%); 2–1 (9.04%)Win 75.41% · Draw 14.87% · Lose 9.72%Clean sheet 42.66%Both score 53.24%Over 2.5 67.71% · Under 2.5 32.29% | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.53Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.61%)Expected goals: 1.53 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.61%); 2–1 (8.89%); 1–0 (8.64%)Win 41.79% · Draw 24.78% · Lose 33.43%Clean sheet 26.07%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.83% · Under 2.5 45.17% | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals2.14Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.89%)Expected goals: 2.14 – 1.07 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.89%); 2–0 (9.28%); 1–1 (9.26%)Win 61.81% · Draw 20.15% · Lose 18.04%Clean sheet 34.42%Both score 57.83%Over 2.5 62.05% · Under 2.5 37.95% | NFO (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.47Clean-sheet chance36% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.43%)Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.01 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.43%); 1–0 (12.32%); 2–1 (9.14%)Win 47.79% · Draw 26.26% · Lose 25.95%Clean sheet 36.46%Both score 48.93%Over 2.5 45.08% · Under 2.5 54.92% | 3.005 fixtures |
| Man UtdExpected goalsFor 7.81Against 7.02Clean sheets 1.23Across 5 fixtures | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.73%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.40 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.73%); 2–1 (9.12%); 1–0 (7.68%)Win 44.71% · Draw 23.58% · Lose 31.71%Clean sheet 24.71%Both score 61.52%Over 2.5 59.81% · Under 2.5 40.19% | LEE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.33Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.10%)Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.42 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.10%); 0–1 (9.13%); 1–2 (8.57%)Win 35.11% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 39.33%Clean sheet 24.23%Both score 55.64%Over 2.5 51.68% · Under 2.5 48.32% | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.82Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.03%)Expected goals: 1.82 – 1.44 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.03%); 2–1 (9.14%); 1–2 (7.25%)Win 46.58% · Draw 22.74% · Lose 30.68%Clean sheet 23.58%Both score 64.07%Over 2.5 63.40% · Under 2.5 36.60% | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.88%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.49 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.88%); 0–1 (9.10%); 1–2 (8.86%)Win 33.18% · Draw 25.17% · Lose 41.65%Clean sheet 22.50%Both score 56.49%Over 2.5 52.98% · Under 2.5 47.02% | AVL (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.25%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.27 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.25%); 2–1 (9.35%); 1–0 (8.87%)Win 46.62% · Draw 24.11% · Lose 29.27%Clean sheet 28.11%Both score 58.24%Over 2.5 56.11% · Under 2.5 43.89% | 3.005 fixtures |
| SpursExpected goalsFor 7.37Against 7.52Clean sheets 1.12Across 5 fixtures | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.40Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.73%)Expected goals: 1.40 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.73%); 1–2 (9.12%); 0–1 (7.68%)Win 31.71% · Draw 23.58% · Lose 44.71%Clean sheet 18.29%Both score 61.52%Over 2.5 59.81% · Under 2.5 40.19% | COV (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.78Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.68%)Expected goals: 1.78 – 1.27 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.68%); 2–1 (9.53%); 1–0 (8.40%)Win 49.49% · Draw 23.21% · Lose 27.30%Clean sheet 28.05%Both score 59.87%Over 2.5 58.92% · Under 2.5 41.08% | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance21% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.39%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.58 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.39%); 1–2 (9.02%); 0–1 (8.47%)Win 32.46% · Draw 24.45% · Lose 43.10%Clean sheet 20.52%Both score 58.75%Over 2.5 56.05% · Under 2.5 43.95% | CRY (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.42%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.46 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.42%); 2–1 (8.45%); 1–2 (8.34%)Win 38.13% · Draw 24.57% · Lose 37.30%Clean sheet 23.19%Both score 59.33%Over 2.5 56.37% · Under 2.5 43.63% | LEE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.37Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.65%)Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.65%); 1–2 (8.76%); 0–1 (8.53%)Win 34.44% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 40.71%Clean sheet 22.20%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.71% · Under 2.5 45.29% | 3.005 fixtures |
| SunderlandExpected goalsFor 6.59Against 6.37Clean sheets 1.41Across 5 fixtures | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.37Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.45%)Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.45%); 1–0 (9.88%); 0–1 (9.10%)Win 39.43% · Draw 26.18% · Lose 34.39%Clean sheet 28.36%Both score 53.41%Over 2.5 48.87% · Under 2.5 51.13% | BOU (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.01Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.59%)Expected goals: 1.01 – 1.43 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.59%); 0–1 (12.45%); 1–2 (9.00%)Win 26.70% · Draw 26.66% · Lose 46.64%Clean sheet 23.96%Both score 48.39%Over 2.5 44.08% · Under 2.5 55.92% | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.54Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.13%)Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.08 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.13%); 1–0 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.32%)Win 47.90% · Draw 25.49% · Lose 26.61%Clean sheet 34.06%Both score 51.75%Over 2.5 48.50% · Under 2.5 51.50% | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.54%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.54%); 1–0 (9.98%); 0–1 (9.35%)Win 38.81% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 34.82%Clean sheet 28.45%Both score 52.85%Over 2.5 48.13% · Under 2.5 51.87% | CHE (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.31%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.31%); 0–1 (9.22%); 1–0 (9.16%)Win 36.84% · Draw 25.93% · Lose 37.23%Clean sheet 26.08%Both score 54.49%Over 2.5 50.15% · Under 2.5 49.85% | 3.005 fixtures |
| Aston VillaExpected goalsFor 7.33Against 7.37Clean sheets 1.19Across 5 fixtures | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.68Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.26%)Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.48%); 1–0 (9.23%)Win 48.25% · Draw 24.03% · Lose 27.72%Clean sheet 29.54%Both score 57.38%Over 2.5 55.48% · Under 2.5 44.52% | NEW (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.32%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.85 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.32%); 1–2 (9.53%); 0–1 (7.94%)Win 26.97% · Draw 22.73% · Lose 50.30%Clean sheet 15.75%Both score 61.28%Over 2.5 60.91% · Under 2.5 39.09% | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.61%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.53 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.61%); 1–2 (8.89%); 0–1 (8.64%)Win 33.43% · Draw 24.78% · Lose 41.79%Clean sheet 21.63%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.83% · Under 2.5 45.17% | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.73Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.20%)Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.11 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.20%); 1–0 (10.07%); 2–1 (9.71%)Win 51.90% · Draw 23.72% · Lose 24.38%Clean sheet 32.87%Both score 55.27%Over 2.5 54.14% · Under 2.5 45.86% | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.27Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.25%)Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.25%); 1–2 (9.35%); 0–1 (8.87%)Win 29.27% · Draw 24.11% · Lose 46.62%Clean sheet 18.98%Both score 58.24%Over 2.5 56.11% · Under 2.5 43.89% | 3.205 fixtures |
| BournemouthExpected goalsFor 7.94Against 6.74Clean sheets 1.37Across 5 fixtures | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.39Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.76%)Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.76%); 1–2 (9.14%); 0–1 (7.75%)Win 31.49% · Draw 23.60% · Lose 44.91%Clean sheet 18.28%Both score 61.34%Over 2.5 59.63% · Under 2.5 40.37% | SUN (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.43Clean-sheet chance36% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.59%)Expected goals: 1.43 – 1.01 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.59%); 1–0 (12.45%); 2–1 (9.00%)Win 46.64% · Draw 26.66% · Lose 26.70%Clean sheet 36.36%Both score 48.39%Over 2.5 44.08% · Under 2.5 55.92% | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.44Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.03%)Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.82 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.03%); 1–2 (9.14%); 2–1 (7.25%)Win 30.68% · Draw 22.74% · Lose 46.58%Clean sheet 16.16%Both score 64.07%Over 2.5 63.40% · Under 2.5 36.60% | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.61Clean-sheet chance35% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.83%)Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.05 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.83%); 1–0 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.52%)Win 50.37% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 24.76%Clean sheet 34.98%Both score 52.02%Over 2.5 49.66% · Under 2.5 50.34% | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals2.07Clean-sheet chance32% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.84%)Expected goals: 2.07 – 1.15 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.84%); 1–1 (9.53%); 2–0 (8.55%)Win 58.43% · Draw 20.94% · Lose 20.63%Clean sheet 31.61%Both score 59.73%Over 2.5 62.39% · Under 2.5 37.61% | 3.205 fixtures |
| BrentfordExpected goalsFor 7.39Against 7.62Clean sheets 1.11Across 5 fixtures | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.26%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.68 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.48%); 0–1 (9.23%)Win 27.72% · Draw 24.03% · Lose 48.25%Clean sheet 18.57%Both score 57.38%Over 2.5 55.48% · Under 2.5 44.52% | LIV (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (9.59%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.71 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (9.59%); 1–2 (8.20%); 2–1 (8.16%)Win 38.53% · Draw 22.59% · Lose 38.88%Clean sheet 18.06%Both score 67.02%Over 2.5 66.31% · Under 2.5 33.69% | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.52Clean-sheet chance29% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.97%)Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.23 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.97%); 1–0 (9.75%); 2–1 (9.08%)Win 43.97% · Draw 25.27% · Lose 30.77%Clean sheet 29.30%Both score 55.20%Over 2.5 51.73% · Under 2.5 48.27% | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.74Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.21%)Expected goals: 1.74 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.21%); 2–1 (8.89%); 1–2 (7.67%)Win 43.55% · Draw 23.09% · Lose 33.37%Clean sheet 22.30%Both score 64.08%Over 2.5 62.87% · Under 2.5 37.13% | BHA (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.21Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.07%)Expected goals: 1.21 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.07%); 0–1 (9.97%); 1–2 (9.06%)Win 30.63% · Draw 25.44% · Lose 43.93%Clean sheet 22.29%Both score 54.56%Over 2.5 50.93% · Under 2.5 49.07% | 3.205 fixtures |
| EvertonExpected goalsFor 6.21Against 7.10Clean sheets 1.25Across 5 fixtures | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance32% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.92%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.13 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.92%); 1–0 (11.39%); 0–1 (9.93%)Win 40.36% · Draw 27.30% · Lose 32.33%Clean sheet 32.16%Both score 49.37%Over 2.5 43.95% · Under 2.5 56.05% | CHE (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.35Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.77%)Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.49 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.77%); 1–2 (8.74%); 0–1 (8.73%)Win 34.40% · Draw 25.04% · Lose 40.56%Clean sheet 22.63%Both score 57.29%Over 2.5 53.88% · Under 2.5 46.12% | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.78Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–1 (14.11%)Expected goals: 0.78 – 1.72 (club first)Top scores: 0–1 (14.11%); 0–2 (12.11%); 1–1 (11.03%)Win 16.77% · Draw 23.56% · Lose 59.67%Clean sheet 17.97%Both score 44.50%Over 2.5 45.58% · Under 2.5 54.42% | NEW (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.12Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.43%)Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.68 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.43%); 0–1 (10.23%); 1–2 (9.62%)Win 25.23% · Draw 24.14% · Lose 50.63%Clean sheet 18.56%Both score 54.78%Over 2.5 53.08% · Under 2.5 46.92% | COV (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.58%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.08 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.58%); 1–0 (10.68%); 2–1 (9.60%)Win 50.80% · Draw 24.38% · Lose 24.82%Clean sheet 33.83%Both score 53.58%Over 2.5 51.69% · Under 2.5 48.31% | 3.205 fixtures |
| Hull CityExpected goalsFor 5.73Against 8.23Clean sheets 1.03Across 5 fixtures | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.13Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.92%)Expected goals: 1.13 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.92%); 0–1 (11.39%); 1–0 (9.93%)Win 32.33% · Draw 27.30% · Lose 40.36%Clean sheet 27.22%Both score 49.37%Over 2.5 43.95% · Under 2.5 56.05% | FUL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.04Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.87%)Expected goals: 1.04 – 1.81 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.87%); 0–1 (10.42%); 1–2 (9.86%)Win 21.62% · Draw 22.98% · Lose 55.40%Clean sheet 16.32%Both score 54.21%Over 2.5 54.39% · Under 2.5 45.61% | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.23Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.97%)Expected goals: 1.23 – 1.52 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.97%); 0–1 (9.75%); 1–2 (9.08%)Win 30.77% · Draw 25.27% · Lose 43.97%Clean sheet 21.93%Both score 55.20%Over 2.5 51.73% · Under 2.5 48.27% | IPS (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.56Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.62%)Expected goals: 1.56 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.62%); 2–1 (9.05%); 1–0 (8.92%)Win 43.34% · Draw 24.75% · Lose 31.92%Clean sheet 27.18%Both score 57.48%Over 2.5 54.48% · Under 2.5 45.52% | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.76Clean-sheet chance10% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (12.38%)Expected goals: 0.76 – 2.29 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (12.38%); 0–1 (10.81%); 0–3 (9.46%)Win 10.80% · Draw 17.34% · Lose 71.86%Clean sheet 10.11%Both score 47.96%Over 2.5 58.89% · Under 2.5 41.11% | 3.205 fixtures |
| Nott'm ForestExpected goalsFor 6.89Against 7.18Clean sheets 1.22Across 5 fixtures | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.41Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.95%)Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.38 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.95%); 1–0 (8.65%); 0–1 (8.48%)Win 37.98% · Draw 25.33% · Lose 36.69%Clean sheet 25.13%Both score 56.58%Over 2.5 52.83% · Under 2.5 47.17% | ARS (H)FDR 4Expected goals0.92Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–1 (13.46%)Expected goals: 0.92 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 0–1 (13.46%); 1–1 (12.37%); 0–2 (9.94%)Win 23.47% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 50.17%Clean sheet 22.85%Both score 46.36%Over 2.5 42.90% · Under 2.5 57.10% | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals2.05Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.90%)Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.11 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.90%); 1–1 (9.65%); 2–0 (8.92%)Win 59.08% · Draw 20.99% · Lose 19.93%Clean sheet 32.99%Both score 58.39%Over 2.5 61.16% · Under 2.5 38.84% | BRE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.21%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.74 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.21%); 1–2 (8.89%); 2–1 (7.67%)Win 33.37% · Draw 23.09% · Lose 43.55%Clean sheet 17.53%Both score 64.08%Over 2.5 62.87% · Under 2.5 37.13% | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.01Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.43%)Expected goals: 1.01 – 1.47 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.43%); 0–1 (12.32%); 1–2 (9.14%)Win 25.95% · Draw 26.26% · Lose 47.79%Clean sheet 23.00%Both score 48.93%Over 2.5 45.08% · Under 2.5 54.92% | 3.205 fixtures |
| BrightonExpected goalsFor 6.49Against 7.76Clean sheets 1.14Across 5 fixtures | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.45%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.37 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.45%); 0–1 (9.88%); 1–0 (9.10%)Win 34.39% · Draw 26.18% · Lose 39.43%Clean sheet 25.45%Both score 53.41%Over 2.5 48.87% · Under 2.5 51.13% | CRY (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.54Clean-sheet chance31% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.02%)Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.16 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.02%); 1–0 (10.32%); 2–1 (9.23%)Win 45.86% · Draw 25.30% · Lose 28.84%Clean sheet 31.21%Both score 53.98%Over 2.5 50.65% · Under 2.5 49.35% | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.12Clean-sheet chance15% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.48%)Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.88 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.48%); 1–2 (9.85%); 0–1 (9.34%)Win 22.47% · Draw 22.46% · Lose 55.07%Clean sheet 15.26%Both score 57.14%Over 2.5 57.72% · Under 2.5 42.28% | MCI (A)FDR 5Expected goals1.07Clean-sheet chance12% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.89%)Expected goals: 1.07 – 2.14 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.89%); 0–2 (9.28%); 1–1 (9.26%)Win 18.04% · Draw 20.15% · Lose 61.81%Clean sheet 11.82%Both score 57.83%Over 2.5 62.05% · Under 2.5 37.95% | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.07%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.21 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.07%); 1–0 (9.97%); 2–1 (9.06%)Win 43.93% · Draw 25.44% · Lose 30.63%Clean sheet 29.79%Both score 54.56%Over 2.5 50.93% · Under 2.5 49.07% | 3.405 fixtures |
| Crystal PalaceExpected goalsFor 6.65Against 7.25Clean sheets 1.18Across 5 fixtures | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.38Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.95%)Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.41 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.95%); 0–1 (8.65%); 1–0 (8.48%)Win 36.69% · Draw 25.33% · Lose 37.98%Clean sheet 24.43%Both score 56.58%Over 2.5 52.83% · Under 2.5 47.17% | BHA (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.16Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.02%)Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.54 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.02%); 0–1 (10.32%); 1–2 (9.23%)Win 28.84% · Draw 25.30% · Lose 45.86%Clean sheet 21.53%Both score 53.98%Over 2.5 50.65% · Under 2.5 49.35% | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.29Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.80%)Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.80%); 1–0 (10.50%); 0–1 (9.94%)Win 38.18% · Draw 26.94% · Lose 34.88%Clean sheet 29.56%Both score 51.01%Over 2.5 45.79% · Under 2.5 54.21% | TOT (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.46Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.42%)Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.42%); 1–2 (8.45%); 2–1 (8.34%)Win 37.30% · Draw 24.57% · Lose 38.13%Clean sheet 22.75%Both score 59.33%Over 2.5 56.37% · Under 2.5 43.63% | LIV (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.35Clean-sheet chance20% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.27%)Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.61 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.27%); 1–2 (9.06%); 0–1 (8.34%)Win 32.20% · Draw 24.28% · Lose 43.52%Clean sheet 20.04%Both score 59.25%Over 2.5 56.74% · Under 2.5 43.26% | 3.405 fixtures |
| LeedsExpected goalsFor 5.89Against 7.98Clean sheets 1.05Across 5 fixtures | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.84Clean-sheet chance12% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (11.66%)Expected goals: 0.84 – 2.14 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (11.66%); 0–1 (10.88%); 1–2 (9.76%)Win 13.45% · Draw 19.19% · Lose 67.37%Clean sheet 11.73%Both score 50.07%Over 2.5 57.25% · Under 2.5 42.75% | MUN (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.42Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.10%)Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.33 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.10%); 1–0 (9.13%); 2–1 (8.57%)Win 39.33% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 35.11%Clean sheet 26.57%Both score 55.64%Over 2.5 51.68% · Under 2.5 48.32% | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.08Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.13%)Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.54 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.13%); 0–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.32%)Win 26.61% · Draw 25.49% · Lose 47.90%Clean sheet 21.51%Both score 51.75%Over 2.5 48.50% · Under 2.5 51.50% | BOU (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.05Clean-sheet chance20% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.83%)Expected goals: 1.05 – 1.61 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.83%); 0–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.52%)Win 24.76% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 50.37%Clean sheet 19.99%Both score 52.02%Over 2.5 49.66% · Under 2.5 50.34% | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.65%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.37 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.65%); 2–1 (8.76%); 1–0 (8.53%)Win 40.71% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 34.44%Clean sheet 25.54%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.71% · Under 2.5 45.29% | 3.405 fixtures |
| LiverpoolExpected goalsFor 7.99Against 6.80Clean sheets 1.30Across 5 fixtures | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.46Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.98%)Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.31 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.98%); 1–0 (9.14%); 2–1 (8.75%)Win 40.76% · Draw 25.35% · Lose 33.89%Clean sheet 26.97%Both score 56.09%Over 2.5 52.37% · Under 2.5 47.63% | BRE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.71Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (9.59%)Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (9.59%); 2–1 (8.20%); 1–2 (8.16%)Win 38.88% · Draw 22.59% · Lose 38.53%Clean sheet 18.21%Both score 67.02%Over 2.5 66.31% · Under 2.5 33.69% | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.88Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.48%)Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.12 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.48%); 2–1 (9.85%); 1–0 (9.34%)Win 55.07% · Draw 22.46% · Lose 22.47%Clean sheet 32.57%Both score 57.14%Over 2.5 57.72% · Under 2.5 42.28% | ARS (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.33Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.41%)Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.32 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.41%); 1–0 (9.43%); 0–1 (9.33%)Win 37.28% · Draw 26.12% · Lose 36.60%Clean sheet 26.82%Both score 53.83%Over 2.5 49.31% · Under 2.5 50.69% | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.61Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.27%)Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.35 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.27%); 2–1 (9.06%); 1–0 (8.34%)Win 43.52% · Draw 24.28% · Lose 32.20%Clean sheet 25.90%Both score 59.25%Over 2.5 56.74% · Under 2.5 43.26% | 3.405 fixtures |
Official FDR: 1 is easiest, 5 hardest; average FDR excludes blanks. Attack uses summed expected goals; defence uses expected clean-sheet counts, so doubles include both matches. Unrated fixtures remain unavailable. 0 fixtures have no confirmed gameweek.
Expected goals and most likely scores show this row's club first, then its opponent, for home and away fixtures. Expected goals are averages from our historical-results model. Most likely scores and the probabilities below them use independent Poisson goal counts, not rounded averages or bookmaker forecasts. Equally likely scores are labelled tied; the top three break ties by home goals then away goals. Each match in a double gameweek is shown separately.
Fixture colours show official difficulty in every view: green for easier opponents, amber for average difficulty, orange for harder opponents and pink for the hardest opponents. Missing ratings stay uncoloured.
Expected goals beneath each club total the fixtures in the selected gameweeks. Doubles include both matches; blanks add zero. Totals are unavailable if any included forecast is missing.
Fixture model saved 03 Oct 2026, 00:10 UTC. Predictions are shown only where the saved fixture, clubs, kickoff and gameweek still match official data. Forecast horizon is capped at five gameweeks.
Compare team attacks by expected goals, and defences by clean-sheet chances. The default order follows official FDR, with easier runs first. Attack and defence rank their forecast totals across the selected gameweeks. For a start/bench choice, compare individual player points and minutes.
| Club | GW6 | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | Expected clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArsenalExpected goalsFor 8.94Against 4.63Clean sheets 2.02Across 5 fixtures | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals2.14Clean-sheet chance43% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (11.66%)Expected goals: 2.14 – 0.84 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (11.66%); 1–0 (10.88%); 2–1 (9.76%)Win 67.37% · Draw 19.19% · Lose 13.45%Clean sheet 43.28%Both score 50.07%Over 2.5 57.25% · Under 2.5 42.75% | NFO (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance40% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–0 (13.46%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 0.92 (club first)Top scores: 1–0 (13.46%); 1–1 (12.37%); 2–0 (9.94%)Win 50.17% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 23.47%Clean sheet 39.90%Both score 46.36%Over 2.5 42.90% · Under 2.5 57.10% | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.72Clean-sheet chance46% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–0 (14.11%)Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.78 (club first)Top scores: 1–0 (14.11%); 2–0 (12.11%); 1–1 (11.03%)Win 59.67% · Draw 23.56% · Lose 16.77%Clean sheet 45.75%Both score 44.50%Over 2.5 45.58% · Under 2.5 54.42% | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.32Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.41%)Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.33 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.41%); 0–1 (9.43%); 1–0 (9.33%)Win 36.60% · Draw 26.12% · Lose 37.28%Clean sheet 26.44%Both score 53.83%Over 2.5 49.31% · Under 2.5 50.69% | HUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals2.29Clean-sheet chance47% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (12.38%)Expected goals: 2.29 – 0.76 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (12.38%); 1–0 (10.81%); 3–0 (9.46%)Win 71.86% · Draw 17.34% · Lose 10.80%Clean sheet 46.65%Both score 47.96%Over 2.5 58.89% · Under 2.5 41.11% | 2.025 fixtures |
| Man CityExpected goalsFor 9.08Against 5.73Clean sheets 1.63Across 5 fixtures | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.31Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.98%)Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.46 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.98%); 0–1 (9.14%); 1–2 (8.75%)Win 33.89% · Draw 25.35% · Lose 40.76%Clean sheet 23.20%Both score 56.09%Over 2.5 52.37% · Under 2.5 47.63% | IPS (H)FDR 2Expected goals2.64Clean-sheet chance43% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–0 (10.62%)Expected goals: 2.64 – 0.85 (club first)Top scores: 2–0 (10.62%); 3–0 (9.33%); 2–1 (9.04%)Win 75.41% · Draw 14.87% · Lose 9.72%Clean sheet 42.66%Both score 53.24%Over 2.5 67.71% · Under 2.5 32.29% | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.53Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.61%)Expected goals: 1.53 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.61%); 2–1 (8.89%); 1–0 (8.64%)Win 41.79% · Draw 24.78% · Lose 33.43%Clean sheet 26.07%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.83% · Under 2.5 45.17% | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals2.14Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.89%)Expected goals: 2.14 – 1.07 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.89%); 2–0 (9.28%); 1–1 (9.26%)Win 61.81% · Draw 20.15% · Lose 18.04%Clean sheet 34.42%Both score 57.83%Over 2.5 62.05% · Under 2.5 37.95% | NFO (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.47Clean-sheet chance36% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.43%)Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.01 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.43%); 1–0 (12.32%); 2–1 (9.14%)Win 47.79% · Draw 26.26% · Lose 25.95%Clean sheet 36.46%Both score 48.93%Over 2.5 45.08% · Under 2.5 54.92% | 1.635 fixtures |
| FulhamExpected goalsFor 7.44Against 6.32Clean sheets 1.45Across 5 fixtures | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.59%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.07 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.59%); 1–0 (10.87%); 2–1 (9.62%)Win 51.21% · Draw 24.40% · Lose 24.40%Clean sheet 34.42%Both score 53.10%Over 2.5 51.26% · Under 2.5 48.74% | HUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.81Clean-sheet chance35% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.87%)Expected goals: 1.81 – 1.04 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.87%); 1–0 (10.42%); 2–1 (9.86%)Win 55.40% · Draw 22.98% · Lose 21.62%Clean sheet 35.22%Both score 54.21%Over 2.5 54.39% · Under 2.5 45.61% | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.38Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.38%)Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.38%); 1–0 (9.80%); 0–1 (8.95%)Win 39.77% · Draw 26.06% · Lose 34.18%Clean sheet 28.26%Both score 53.77%Over 2.5 49.36% · Under 2.5 50.64% | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.11Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.20%)Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.73 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.20%); 0–1 (10.07%); 1–2 (9.71%)Win 24.38% · Draw 23.72% · Lose 51.90%Clean sheet 17.67%Both score 55.27%Over 2.5 54.14% · Under 2.5 45.86% | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.47Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.19%)Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.19%); 1–0 (10.02%); 2–1 (8.94%)Win 42.94% · Draw 25.67% · Lose 31.39%Clean sheet 29.62%Both score 54.15%Over 2.5 50.24% · Under 2.5 49.76% | 1.455 fixtures |
| SunderlandExpected goalsFor 6.59Against 6.37Clean sheets 1.41Across 5 fixtures | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.37Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.45%)Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.45%); 1–0 (9.88%); 0–1 (9.10%)Win 39.43% · Draw 26.18% · Lose 34.39%Clean sheet 28.36%Both score 53.41%Over 2.5 48.87% · Under 2.5 51.13% | BOU (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.01Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.59%)Expected goals: 1.01 – 1.43 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.59%); 0–1 (12.45%); 1–2 (9.00%)Win 26.70% · Draw 26.66% · Lose 46.64%Clean sheet 23.96%Both score 48.39%Over 2.5 44.08% · Under 2.5 55.92% | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.54Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.13%)Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.08 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.13%); 1–0 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.32%)Win 47.90% · Draw 25.49% · Lose 26.61%Clean sheet 34.06%Both score 51.75%Over 2.5 48.50% · Under 2.5 51.50% | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.54%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.26 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.54%); 1–0 (9.98%); 0–1 (9.35%)Win 38.81% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 34.82%Clean sheet 28.45%Both score 52.85%Over 2.5 48.13% · Under 2.5 51.87% | CHE (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.31%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.31%); 0–1 (9.22%); 1–0 (9.16%)Win 36.84% · Draw 25.93% · Lose 37.23%Clean sheet 26.08%Both score 54.49%Over 2.5 50.15% · Under 2.5 49.85% | 1.415 fixtures |
| NewcastleExpected goalsFor 7.45Against 6.40Clean sheets 1.40Across 5 fixtures | COV (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance29% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.12%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.23 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.12%); 1–0 (9.89%); 2–1 (8.97%)Win 43.05% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 31.40%Clean sheet 29.36%Both score 54.55%Over 2.5 50.76% · Under 2.5 49.24% | AVL (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.85Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.32%)Expected goals: 1.85 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.32%); 2–1 (9.53%); 1–0 (7.94%)Win 50.30% · Draw 22.73% · Lose 26.97%Clean sheet 27.26%Both score 61.28%Over 2.5 60.91% · Under 2.5 39.09% | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.80%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.29 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.80%); 0–1 (10.50%); 1–0 (9.94%)Win 34.88% · Draw 26.94% · Lose 38.18%Clean sheet 27.59%Both score 51.01%Over 2.5 45.79% · Under 2.5 54.21% | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.68Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.43%)Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.12 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.43%); 1–0 (10.23%); 2–1 (9.62%)Win 50.63% · Draw 24.14% · Lose 25.23%Clean sheet 32.74%Both score 54.78%Over 2.5 53.08% · Under 2.5 46.92% | FUL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.19%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.47 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.19%); 0–1 (10.02%); 1–2 (8.94%)Win 31.39% · Draw 25.67% · Lose 42.94%Clean sheet 23.06%Both score 54.15%Over 2.5 50.24% · Under 2.5 49.76% | 1.405 fixtures |
| BournemouthExpected goalsFor 7.94Against 6.74Clean sheets 1.37Across 5 fixtures | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.39Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.76%)Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.76%); 1–2 (9.14%); 0–1 (7.75%)Win 31.49% · Draw 23.60% · Lose 44.91%Clean sheet 18.28%Both score 61.34%Over 2.5 59.63% · Under 2.5 40.37% | SUN (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.43Clean-sheet chance36% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.59%)Expected goals: 1.43 – 1.01 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.59%); 1–0 (12.45%); 2–1 (9.00%)Win 46.64% · Draw 26.66% · Lose 26.70%Clean sheet 36.36%Both score 48.39%Over 2.5 44.08% · Under 2.5 55.92% | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.44Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.03%)Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.82 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.03%); 1–2 (9.14%); 2–1 (7.25%)Win 30.68% · Draw 22.74% · Lose 46.58%Clean sheet 16.16%Both score 64.07%Over 2.5 63.40% · Under 2.5 36.60% | LEE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.61Clean-sheet chance35% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.83%)Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.05 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.83%); 1–0 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.52%)Win 50.37% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 24.76%Clean sheet 34.98%Both score 52.02%Over 2.5 49.66% · Under 2.5 50.34% | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals2.07Clean-sheet chance32% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.84%)Expected goals: 2.07 – 1.15 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.84%); 1–1 (9.53%); 2–0 (8.55%)Win 58.43% · Draw 20.94% · Lose 20.63%Clean sheet 31.61%Both score 59.73%Over 2.5 62.39% · Under 2.5 37.61% | 1.375 fixtures |
| LiverpoolExpected goalsFor 7.99Against 6.80Clean sheets 1.30Across 5 fixtures | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.46Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.98%)Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.31 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.98%); 1–0 (9.14%); 2–1 (8.75%)Win 40.76% · Draw 25.35% · Lose 33.89%Clean sheet 26.97%Both score 56.09%Over 2.5 52.37% · Under 2.5 47.63% | BRE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.71Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (9.59%)Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (9.59%); 2–1 (8.20%); 1–2 (8.16%)Win 38.88% · Draw 22.59% · Lose 38.53%Clean sheet 18.21%Both score 67.02%Over 2.5 66.31% · Under 2.5 33.69% | BHA (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.88Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.48%)Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.12 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.48%); 2–1 (9.85%); 1–0 (9.34%)Win 55.07% · Draw 22.46% · Lose 22.47%Clean sheet 32.57%Both score 57.14%Over 2.5 57.72% · Under 2.5 42.28% | ARS (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.33Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.41%)Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.32 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.41%); 1–0 (9.43%); 0–1 (9.33%)Win 37.28% · Draw 26.12% · Lose 36.60%Clean sheet 26.82%Both score 53.83%Over 2.5 49.31% · Under 2.5 50.69% | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.61Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.27%)Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.35 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.27%); 2–1 (9.06%); 1–0 (8.34%)Win 43.52% · Draw 24.28% · Lose 32.20%Clean sheet 25.90%Both score 59.25%Over 2.5 56.74% · Under 2.5 43.26% | 1.305 fixtures |
| ChelseaExpected goalsFor 7.60Against 6.72Clean sheets 1.30Across 5 fixtures | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.76%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.39 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.76%); 2–1 (9.14%); 1–0 (7.75%)Win 44.91% · Draw 23.60% · Lose 31.49%Clean sheet 24.93%Both score 61.34%Over 2.5 59.63% · Under 2.5 40.37% | EVE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.49Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.77%)Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.35 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.77%); 2–1 (8.74%); 1–0 (8.73%)Win 40.56% · Draw 25.04% · Lose 34.40%Clean sheet 25.95%Both score 57.29%Over 2.5 53.88% · Under 2.5 46.12% | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.58Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.39%)Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.39%); 2–1 (9.02%); 1–0 (8.47%)Win 43.10% · Draw 24.45% · Lose 32.46%Clean sheet 26.08%Both score 58.75%Over 2.5 56.05% · Under 2.5 43.95% | MUN (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.49Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.88%)Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.88%); 1–0 (9.10%); 2–1 (8.86%)Win 41.65% · Draw 25.17% · Lose 33.18%Clean sheet 27.12%Both score 56.49%Over 2.5 52.98% · Under 2.5 47.02% | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.31%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.31%); 1–0 (9.22%); 0–1 (9.16%)Win 37.23% · Draw 25.93% · Lose 36.84%Clean sheet 26.29%Both score 54.49%Over 2.5 50.15% · Under 2.5 49.85% | 1.305 fixtures |
| EvertonExpected goalsFor 6.21Against 7.10Clean sheets 1.25Across 5 fixtures | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance32% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.92%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.13 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.92%); 1–0 (11.39%); 0–1 (9.93%)Win 40.36% · Draw 27.30% · Lose 32.33%Clean sheet 32.16%Both score 49.37%Over 2.5 43.95% · Under 2.5 56.05% | CHE (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.35Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.77%)Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.49 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.77%); 1–2 (8.74%); 0–1 (8.73%)Win 34.40% · Draw 25.04% · Lose 40.56%Clean sheet 22.63%Both score 57.29%Over 2.5 53.88% · Under 2.5 46.12% | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.78Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–1 (14.11%)Expected goals: 0.78 – 1.72 (club first)Top scores: 0–1 (14.11%); 0–2 (12.11%); 1–1 (11.03%)Win 16.77% · Draw 23.56% · Lose 59.67%Clean sheet 17.97%Both score 44.50%Over 2.5 45.58% · Under 2.5 54.42% | NEW (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.12Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.43%)Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.68 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.43%); 0–1 (10.23%); 1–2 (9.62%)Win 25.23% · Draw 24.14% · Lose 50.63%Clean sheet 18.56%Both score 54.78%Over 2.5 53.08% · Under 2.5 46.92% | COV (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance34% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.58%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.08 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.58%); 1–0 (10.68%); 2–1 (9.60%)Win 50.80% · Draw 24.38% · Lose 24.82%Clean sheet 33.83%Both score 53.58%Over 2.5 51.69% · Under 2.5 48.31% | 1.255 fixtures |
| Man UtdExpected goalsFor 7.81Against 7.02Clean sheets 1.23Across 5 fixtures | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.73%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.40 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.73%); 2–1 (9.12%); 1–0 (7.68%)Win 44.71% · Draw 23.58% · Lose 31.71%Clean sheet 24.71%Both score 61.52%Over 2.5 59.81% · Under 2.5 40.19% | LEE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.33Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.10%)Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.42 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.10%); 0–1 (9.13%); 1–2 (8.57%)Win 35.11% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 39.33%Clean sheet 24.23%Both score 55.64%Over 2.5 51.68% · Under 2.5 48.32% | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.82Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.03%)Expected goals: 1.82 – 1.44 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.03%); 2–1 (9.14%); 1–2 (7.25%)Win 46.58% · Draw 22.74% · Lose 30.68%Clean sheet 23.58%Both score 64.07%Over 2.5 63.40% · Under 2.5 36.60% | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.88%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.49 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.88%); 0–1 (9.10%); 1–2 (8.86%)Win 33.18% · Draw 25.17% · Lose 41.65%Clean sheet 22.50%Both score 56.49%Over 2.5 52.98% · Under 2.5 47.02% | AVL (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.66Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.25%)Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.27 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.25%); 2–1 (9.35%); 1–0 (8.87%)Win 46.62% · Draw 24.11% · Lose 29.27%Clean sheet 28.11%Both score 58.24%Over 2.5 56.11% · Under 2.5 43.89% | 1.235 fixtures |
| Nott'm ForestExpected goalsFor 6.89Against 7.18Clean sheets 1.22Across 5 fixtures | CRY (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.41Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.95%)Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.38 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.95%); 1–0 (8.65%); 0–1 (8.48%)Win 37.98% · Draw 25.33% · Lose 36.69%Clean sheet 25.13%Both score 56.58%Over 2.5 52.83% · Under 2.5 47.17% | ARS (H)FDR 4Expected goals0.92Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–1 (13.46%)Expected goals: 0.92 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 0–1 (13.46%); 1–1 (12.37%); 0–2 (9.94%)Win 23.47% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 50.17%Clean sheet 22.85%Both score 46.36%Over 2.5 42.90% · Under 2.5 57.10% | IPS (A)FDR 2Expected goals2.05Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score2–1 (9.90%)Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.11 (club first)Top scores: 2–1 (9.90%); 1–1 (9.65%); 2–0 (8.92%)Win 59.08% · Draw 20.99% · Lose 19.93%Clean sheet 32.99%Both score 58.39%Over 2.5 61.16% · Under 2.5 38.84% | BRE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.21%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.74 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.21%); 1–2 (8.89%); 2–1 (7.67%)Win 33.37% · Draw 23.09% · Lose 43.55%Clean sheet 17.53%Both score 64.08%Over 2.5 62.87% · Under 2.5 37.13% | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.01Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.43%)Expected goals: 1.01 – 1.47 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.43%); 0–1 (12.32%); 1–2 (9.14%)Win 25.95% · Draw 26.26% · Lose 47.79%Clean sheet 23.00%Both score 48.93%Over 2.5 45.08% · Under 2.5 54.92% | 1.225 fixtures |
| Aston VillaExpected goalsFor 7.33Against 7.37Clean sheets 1.19Across 5 fixtures | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.68Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.26%)Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.26%); 2–1 (9.48%); 1–0 (9.23%)Win 48.25% · Draw 24.03% · Lose 27.72%Clean sheet 29.54%Both score 57.38%Over 2.5 55.48% · Under 2.5 44.52% | NEW (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.32%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.85 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.32%); 1–2 (9.53%); 0–1 (7.94%)Win 26.97% · Draw 22.73% · Lose 50.30%Clean sheet 15.75%Both score 61.28%Over 2.5 60.91% · Under 2.5 39.09% | MCI (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.61%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.53 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.61%); 1–2 (8.89%); 0–1 (8.64%)Win 33.43% · Draw 24.78% · Lose 41.79%Clean sheet 21.63%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.83% · Under 2.5 45.17% | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.73Clean-sheet chance33% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.20%)Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.11 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.20%); 1–0 (10.07%); 2–1 (9.71%)Win 51.90% · Draw 23.72% · Lose 24.38%Clean sheet 32.87%Both score 55.27%Over 2.5 54.14% · Under 2.5 45.86% | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.27Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.25%)Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.25%); 1–2 (9.35%); 0–1 (8.87%)Win 29.27% · Draw 24.11% · Lose 46.62%Clean sheet 18.98%Both score 58.24%Over 2.5 56.11% · Under 2.5 43.89% | 1.195 fixtures |
| Crystal PalaceExpected goalsFor 6.65Against 7.25Clean sheets 1.18Across 5 fixtures | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.38Clean-sheet chance24% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.95%)Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.41 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.95%); 0–1 (8.65%); 1–0 (8.48%)Win 36.69% · Draw 25.33% · Lose 37.98%Clean sheet 24.43%Both score 56.58%Over 2.5 52.83% · Under 2.5 47.17% | BHA (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.16Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.02%)Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.54 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.02%); 0–1 (10.32%); 1–2 (9.23%)Win 28.84% · Draw 25.30% · Lose 45.86%Clean sheet 21.53%Both score 53.98%Over 2.5 50.65% · Under 2.5 49.35% | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.29Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.80%)Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.22 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.80%); 1–0 (10.50%); 0–1 (9.94%)Win 38.18% · Draw 26.94% · Lose 34.88%Clean sheet 29.56%Both score 51.01%Over 2.5 45.79% · Under 2.5 54.21% | TOT (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.46Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.42%)Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.42%); 1–2 (8.45%); 2–1 (8.34%)Win 37.30% · Draw 24.57% · Lose 38.13%Clean sheet 22.75%Both score 59.33%Over 2.5 56.37% · Under 2.5 43.63% | LIV (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.35Clean-sheet chance20% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.27%)Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.61 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.27%); 1–2 (9.06%); 0–1 (8.34%)Win 32.20% · Draw 24.28% · Lose 43.52%Clean sheet 20.04%Both score 59.25%Over 2.5 56.74% · Under 2.5 43.26% | 1.185 fixtures |
| BrightonExpected goalsFor 6.49Against 7.76Clean sheets 1.14Across 5 fixtures | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.45%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.37 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.45%); 0–1 (9.88%); 1–0 (9.10%)Win 34.39% · Draw 26.18% · Lose 39.43%Clean sheet 25.45%Both score 53.41%Over 2.5 48.87% · Under 2.5 51.13% | CRY (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.54Clean-sheet chance31% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.02%)Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.16 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.02%); 1–0 (10.32%); 2–1 (9.23%)Win 45.86% · Draw 25.30% · Lose 28.84%Clean sheet 31.21%Both score 53.98%Over 2.5 50.65% · Under 2.5 49.35% | LIV (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.12Clean-sheet chance15% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.48%)Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.88 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.48%); 1–2 (9.85%); 0–1 (9.34%)Win 22.47% · Draw 22.46% · Lose 55.07%Clean sheet 15.26%Both score 57.14%Over 2.5 57.72% · Under 2.5 42.28% | MCI (A)FDR 5Expected goals1.07Clean-sheet chance12% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.89%)Expected goals: 1.07 – 2.14 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.89%); 0–2 (9.28%); 1–1 (9.26%)Win 18.04% · Draw 20.15% · Lose 61.81%Clean sheet 11.82%Both score 57.83%Over 2.5 62.05% · Under 2.5 37.95% | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance30% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.07%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.21 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.07%); 1–0 (9.97%); 2–1 (9.06%)Win 43.93% · Draw 25.44% · Lose 30.63%Clean sheet 29.79%Both score 54.56%Over 2.5 50.93% · Under 2.5 49.07% | 1.145 fixtures |
| SpursExpected goalsFor 7.37Against 7.52Clean sheets 1.12Across 5 fixtures | MUN (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.40Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.73%)Expected goals: 1.40 – 1.70 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.73%); 1–2 (9.12%); 0–1 (7.68%)Win 31.71% · Draw 23.58% · Lose 44.71%Clean sheet 18.29%Both score 61.52%Over 2.5 59.81% · Under 2.5 40.19% | COV (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.78Clean-sheet chance28% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.68%)Expected goals: 1.78 – 1.27 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.68%); 2–1 (9.53%); 1–0 (8.40%)Win 49.49% · Draw 23.21% · Lose 27.30%Clean sheet 28.05%Both score 59.87%Over 2.5 58.92% · Under 2.5 41.08% | CHE (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.34Clean-sheet chance21% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.39%)Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.58 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.39%); 1–2 (9.02%); 0–1 (8.47%)Win 32.46% · Draw 24.45% · Lose 43.10%Clean sheet 20.52%Both score 58.75%Over 2.5 56.05% · Under 2.5 43.95% | CRY (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.48Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.42%)Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.46 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.42%); 2–1 (8.45%); 1–2 (8.34%)Win 38.13% · Draw 24.57% · Lose 37.30%Clean sheet 23.19%Both score 59.33%Over 2.5 56.37% · Under 2.5 43.63% | LEE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.37Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.65%)Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.65%); 1–2 (8.76%); 0–1 (8.53%)Win 34.44% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 40.71%Clean sheet 22.20%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.71% · Under 2.5 45.29% | 1.125 fixtures |
| BrentfordExpected goalsFor 7.39Against 7.62Clean sheets 1.11Across 5 fixtures | AVL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.22Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.26%)Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.68 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.48%); 0–1 (9.23%)Win 27.72% · Draw 24.03% · Lose 48.25%Clean sheet 18.57%Both score 57.38%Over 2.5 55.48% · Under 2.5 44.52% | LIV (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.70Clean-sheet chance18% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (9.59%)Expected goals: 1.70 – 1.71 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (9.59%); 1–2 (8.20%); 2–1 (8.16%)Win 38.53% · Draw 22.59% · Lose 38.88%Clean sheet 18.06%Both score 67.02%Over 2.5 66.31% · Under 2.5 33.69% | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.52Clean-sheet chance29% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.97%)Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.23 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.97%); 1–0 (9.75%); 2–1 (9.08%)Win 43.97% · Draw 25.27% · Lose 30.77%Clean sheet 29.30%Both score 55.20%Over 2.5 51.73% · Under 2.5 48.27% | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.74Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.21%)Expected goals: 1.74 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.21%); 2–1 (8.89%); 1–2 (7.67%)Win 43.55% · Draw 23.09% · Lose 33.37%Clean sheet 22.30%Both score 64.08%Over 2.5 62.87% · Under 2.5 37.13% | BHA (A)FDR 4Expected goals1.21Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.07%)Expected goals: 1.21 – 1.50 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.07%); 0–1 (9.97%); 1–2 (9.06%)Win 30.63% · Draw 25.44% · Lose 43.93%Clean sheet 22.29%Both score 54.56%Over 2.5 50.93% · Under 2.5 49.07% | 1.115 fixtures |
| Coventry CityExpected goalsFor 6.10Against 7.65Clean sheets 1.10Across 5 fixtures | NEW (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.23Clean-sheet chance23% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.12%)Expected goals: 1.23 – 1.48 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.12%); 0–1 (9.89%); 1–2 (8.97%)Win 31.40% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 43.05%Clean sheet 22.78%Both score 54.55%Over 2.5 50.76% · Under 2.5 49.24% | TOT (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.27Clean-sheet chance17% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.68%)Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.78 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.68%); 1–2 (9.53%); 0–1 (8.40%)Win 27.30% · Draw 23.21% · Lose 49.49%Clean sheet 16.78%Both score 59.87%Over 2.5 58.92% · Under 2.5 41.08% | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance25% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.38%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.38 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.38%); 0–1 (9.80%); 1–0 (8.95%)Win 34.18% · Draw 26.06% · Lose 39.77%Clean sheet 25.05%Both score 53.77%Over 2.5 49.36% · Under 2.5 50.64% | SUN (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.26Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.54%)Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.34 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.54%); 0–1 (9.98%); 1–0 (9.35%)Win 34.82% · Draw 26.37% · Lose 38.81%Clean sheet 26.13%Both score 52.85%Over 2.5 48.13% · Under 2.5 51.87% | EVE (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.08Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.58%)Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.58%); 0–1 (10.68%); 1–2 (9.60%)Win 24.82% · Draw 24.38% · Lose 50.80%Clean sheet 19.03%Both score 53.58%Over 2.5 51.69% · Under 2.5 48.31% | 1.105 fixtures |
| LeedsExpected goalsFor 5.89Against 7.98Clean sheets 1.05Across 5 fixtures | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.84Clean-sheet chance12% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (11.66%)Expected goals: 0.84 – 2.14 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (11.66%); 0–1 (10.88%); 1–2 (9.76%)Win 13.45% · Draw 19.19% · Lose 67.37%Clean sheet 11.73%Both score 50.07%Over 2.5 57.25% · Under 2.5 42.75% | MUN (H)FDR 4Expected goals1.42Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.10%)Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.33 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.10%); 1–0 (9.13%); 2–1 (8.57%)Win 39.33% · Draw 25.55% · Lose 35.11%Clean sheet 26.57%Both score 55.64%Over 2.5 51.68% · Under 2.5 48.32% | SUN (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.08Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.13%)Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.54 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.13%); 0–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.32%)Win 26.61% · Draw 25.49% · Lose 47.90%Clean sheet 21.51%Both score 51.75%Over 2.5 48.50% · Under 2.5 51.50% | BOU (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.05Clean-sheet chance20% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.83%)Expected goals: 1.05 – 1.61 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.83%); 0–1 (11.26%); 1–2 (9.52%)Win 24.76% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 50.37%Clean sheet 19.99%Both score 52.02%Over 2.5 49.66% · Under 2.5 50.34% | TOT (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.50Clean-sheet chance26% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.65%)Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.37 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.65%); 2–1 (8.76%); 1–0 (8.53%)Win 40.71% · Draw 24.86% · Lose 34.44%Clean sheet 25.54%Both score 57.93%Over 2.5 54.71% · Under 2.5 45.29% | 1.055 fixtures |
| Hull CityExpected goalsFor 5.73Against 8.23Clean sheets 1.03Across 5 fixtures | EVE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.13Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (12.92%)Expected goals: 1.13 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (12.92%); 0–1 (11.39%); 1–0 (9.93%)Win 32.33% · Draw 27.30% · Lose 40.36%Clean sheet 27.22%Both score 49.37%Over 2.5 43.95% · Under 2.5 56.05% | FUL (A)FDR 3Expected goals1.04Clean-sheet chance16% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (10.87%)Expected goals: 1.04 – 1.81 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (10.87%); 0–1 (10.42%); 1–2 (9.86%)Win 21.62% · Draw 22.98% · Lose 55.40%Clean sheet 16.32%Both score 54.21%Over 2.5 54.39% · Under 2.5 45.61% | BRE (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.23Clean-sheet chance22% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.97%)Expected goals: 1.23 – 1.52 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.97%); 0–1 (9.75%); 1–2 (9.08%)Win 30.77% · Draw 25.27% · Lose 43.97%Clean sheet 21.93%Both score 55.20%Over 2.5 51.73% · Under 2.5 48.27% | IPS (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.56Clean-sheet chance27% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.62%)Expected goals: 1.56 – 1.30 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.62%); 2–1 (9.05%); 1–0 (8.92%)Win 43.34% · Draw 24.75% · Lose 31.92%Clean sheet 27.18%Both score 57.48%Over 2.5 54.48% · Under 2.5 45.52% | ARS (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.76Clean-sheet chance10% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (12.38%)Expected goals: 0.76 – 2.29 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (12.38%); 0–1 (10.81%); 0–3 (9.46%)Win 10.80% · Draw 17.34% · Lose 71.86%Clean sheet 10.11%Both score 47.96%Over 2.5 58.89% · Under 2.5 41.11% | 1.035 fixtures |
| Ipswich TownExpected goalsFor 5.48Against 9.97Clean sheets 0.73Across 5 fixtures | FUL (H)FDR 2Expected goals1.07Clean-sheet chance19% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.59%)Expected goals: 1.07 – 1.66 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.59%); 0–1 (10.87%); 1–2 (9.62%)Win 24.40% · Draw 24.40% · Lose 51.21%Clean sheet 19.03%Both score 53.10%Over 2.5 51.26% · Under 2.5 48.74% | MCI (A)FDR 5Expected goals0.85Clean-sheet chance7% Score probabilitiesMost likely score0–2 (10.62%)Expected goals: 0.85 – 2.64 (club first)Top scores: 0–2 (10.62%); 0–3 (9.33%); 1–2 (9.04%)Win 9.72% · Draw 14.87% · Lose 75.41%Clean sheet 7.16%Both score 53.24%Over 2.5 67.71% · Under 2.5 32.29% | NFO (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.11Clean-sheet chance13% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.90%)Expected goals: 1.11 – 2.05 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.90%); 1–1 (9.65%); 0–2 (8.92%)Win 19.93% · Draw 20.99% · Lose 59.08%Clean sheet 12.86%Both score 58.39%Over 2.5 61.16% · Under 2.5 38.84% | HUL (A)FDR 2Expected goals1.30Clean-sheet chance21% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–1 (11.62%)Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.56 (club first)Top scores: 1–1 (11.62%); 1–2 (9.05%); 0–1 (8.92%)Win 31.92% · Draw 24.75% · Lose 43.34%Clean sheet 21.07%Both score 57.48%Over 2.5 54.48% · Under 2.5 45.52% | BOU (H)FDR 3Expected goals1.15Clean-sheet chance13% Score probabilitiesMost likely score1–2 (9.84%)Expected goals: 1.15 – 2.07 (club first)Top scores: 1–2 (9.84%); 1–1 (9.53%); 0–2 (8.55%)Win 20.63% · Draw 20.94% · Lose 58.43%Clean sheet 12.66%Both score 59.73%Over 2.5 62.39% · Under 2.5 37.61% | 0.735 fixtures |
Official FDR: 1 is easiest, 5 hardest; average FDR excludes blanks. Attack uses summed expected goals; defence uses expected clean-sheet counts, so doubles include both matches. Unrated fixtures remain unavailable. 0 fixtures have no confirmed gameweek.
Expected goals and most likely scores show this row's club first, then its opponent, for home and away fixtures. Expected goals are averages from our historical-results model. Most likely scores and the probabilities below them use independent Poisson goal counts, not rounded averages or bookmaker forecasts. Equally likely scores are labelled tied; the top three break ties by home goals then away goals. Each match in a double gameweek is shown separately.
Fixture colours show official difficulty in every view: green for easier opponents, amber for average difficulty, orange for harder opponents and pink for the hardest opponents. Missing ratings stay uncoloured.
Expected goals beneath each club total the fixtures in the selected gameweeks. Doubles include both matches; blanks add zero. Totals are unavailable if any included forecast is missing.
Fixture model saved 03 Oct 2026, 00:10 UTC. Predictions are shown only where the saved fixture, clubs, kickoff and gameweek still match official data. Forecast horizon is capped at five gameweeks.
How to use FPL Fixture Difficulty
Compare upcoming opponents, home and away fixtures, and fixture runs when planning transfers. Rotation options help identify teams whose favourable matches fall in different gameweeks.
Official FPL difficulty ratings run from 1, easiest, to 5, hardest. Check the selected measure when comparing ratings. Blank or double gameweeks can change the number of matches, and this view stays the same for every visitor.
Turn a favourable fixture run into a shortlist with FPL player statistics. Check recent form and predicted points alongside minutes and price.
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